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NFL Prop Bets Payday: 5 Denver Broncos prop bet predictions for Week 11

Ken Pomponio
Sportsbook Wire

Two teams heading in opposite directions clash Sunday afternoon as the skidding Denver Broncos host the red-hot Miami Dolphins. Kickoff is set for 4:05 p.m. ET at Empower Field at Mile High. Below, we highlight five prop bet predictions for the Broncos for Week 11.

Also see:Dolphins at Broncos odds, picks and prediction

Denver Broncos Week 11 prop bet predictions

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports' betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:10 a.m. ET.

Broncos' first-half points UNDER 9.5 (+100)

Denver has been a notoriously slow-starting team, averaging only 7.8 first-half points per game this season. Only the winless New York Jets score fewer with a 7.6 average.

It's been even worse than that in QB Drew Lock's seven starts, as the Broncos are averaging a miniscule 6.1 points in the opening 30 minutes.

Miami, meanwhile, possesses the league's fourth-stingiest first-half scoring defense, allowing an average of 9.9 points.

And when they haven't been facing the Seattle Seahawks, Buffalo Bills or Arizona Cardinals - all top-11 scoring offenses - the Dolphins have permitted an average of only 6.3 first-half points.

With the Under being an even-money proposition, it's our best play on this game's prop board.

QB Drew Lock UNDER 1.5 passing touchdowns (-134)

With only 7 passing touchdowns and 10 interceptions in seven games this season, Lock is certainly struggling.

Lock has tossed multiple TD passes in four of 12 games in his career, including only two of seven this year.

As for the opposition, the Dolphins have surrendered only 13 aerial scores - the sixth-fewest in the league - and nine of those 13 TDs came in games facing top-notch QBs in Josh Allen, Russell Wilson and Kyler Murray.

That's way above Lock's class so take the Under.

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RB Phillip Lindsay OVER 6.5 rushing attempts (-115)

Lindsay carried the ball a career-low-matching four times a week ago in a 37-12 road shellacking by the Las Vegas Raiders, and that point has been harped on early and often by the Denver media all week.

In his previous five games this season, Lindsay has averaged 10.6 rushes per outing, and the game against the Raiders was only the second contest in the last two seasons (22 in all) and just the fourth game in his pro career (37 in all) in which he didn't receive at least seven carries.

Against a Miami defense that's not exactly stout against the run - ranking 19th with an average of 128.1 rushing yards allowed per game this season -expect Lindsay to hit the Over with a few carries to spare.

OVER 3.5 total made field goals (-110)

With Miami's Jason Sanders and Denver's Brandon McManus combining to hit 38 of 40 field-goal attempts (95.0%) on the season - missing only one apiece - the Dolphins (2.2) and Broncos (2.0) rank among the league's top seven teams in field goals per game.

Combine those numbers with the mile-high altitude - where a team is in field-goal range almost as soon as it crosses midfield - and you have a strong lean to the Over.

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Reasonable long shot: Jerry Jeudy, Tim Patrick and DeVante Parker each with 50+ receiving yards (+425)

Jeudy (7 of 9 games) and Parker (5 of 9) have cracked the half-century yardage mark in more than half of their games this season.

Patrick, meanwhile, has had 50 or more in three of eight contests this year while battling injuries, but all three have come during his last five games.

That makes this prop parlay worth a shot.

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